National League | Gameweek 45

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
1 - 1
Dorking

Rodney (54')
Rodney (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Carter (49')
Philpot (14'), Kuhl (58'), Muitt (63'), Moore (89')

Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Rochdale
Saturday, April 6 at 12.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 4-2 Dorking
Thursday, April 11 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
65.14% ( 0.55)	18.8% ( -0.09)	16.06% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 58.43% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.82% (

-0.45)

35.18% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.81% (

-0.51)

57.19% (

0.51)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.85% (

10.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.63% (

0.01)

33.37% (

-0.01)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.03% (

-0.81)

34.97% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.28% (

-0.86)

71.72% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 65.14%

Dorking Wanderers 16.06%

Draw 18.8%

Rochdale	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.17% Total : 65.14%	1-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.8%	1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 3.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.53% Total : 16.06%