Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Rochdale |
| 42.63% | 24.83% | 32.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.33% ( | 45.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.01% ( | 68% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( | 21.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.53% | 54.47% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( | 26.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.83% ( | 62.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Rochdale |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% 1-0 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.63% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-1 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.54% |