National League | Gameweek 43

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham
1 - 0
Oldham

Conn (40')
Donawa (65'), Hancox (84'), Conn (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kitching (31')

Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Kidderminster 1-3 Altrincham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Oldham 1-3 Fylde
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.

Result
Altrincham	Draw	Oldham Athletic
40.33% ( -0.44)	23.83% ( 0.12)	35.83% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 61.94% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.81% (

-0.56)

40.18% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.44% (

-0.58)

62.55% (

0.57)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.81% (

-0.44)

20.18% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.51% (

-0.7)

52.48% (

0.7)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.6% (

-0.09)

22.39% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.09% (

-0.14)

55.9% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Altrincham 40.33%

Oldham Athletic 35.83%

Draw 23.83%

Altrincham	Draw	Oldham Athletic
2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.02% Total : 40.33%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.83%	1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.83%