MX23RW : Thursday, November 30 14:29:52| >> :600:530981:530981:
[monks data]
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 23
Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
2 - 0
Patrick (25'), Sho-Silva (89')
Gibson (79'), Armer (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Carlisle United vs. Rochdale - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After an important victory at the weekend, Carlisle United will look to give their survival hopes another boost on Tuesday, when they welcome Rochdale to Brunton Park.

The hosts climbed back out of the bottom two of the League Two table thanks to a win over Leyton Orient, while their visitors sit 16th after an upturn in form.

Match preview

After an impressive run of form between late November and January, in which they earned four victories and 14 points from a span of seven games, Carlisle may not have been overly concerned by the threat of relegation out of League Two.

However, a poor run followed, and the Blues would add just two points to their tally from the following seven games, quickly being dragged back into the scrap at the bottom of the table as a result.

Paul Simpson's side briefly dropped into the relegation zone last week, but they just as quickly leaped back out with a much-needed victory to stop the rot on Saturday, as Omari Patrick hit the only goal of the game inside the first five minutes of their trip to fellow strugglers Leyton Orient.

While that did see them move back above Oldham Athletic, Simpson's men will know they have far more work to do if they are to survive, given they only sit a point above the bottom two with Oldham boasting a game in hand and an impressive run of form.

In their bid to add a second straight victory, the Blues welcome a Rochdale side who also added three points to their account at the weekend.

Rochdale, themselves, sat uncomfortably close to the threat of relegation after 30 games of the season, as they sat on just 30 points, but Robbie Stockdale's side have hugely improved their position recently.

Following a narrow defeat away at league leaders Forest Green Rovers, the Lancashire outfit have not suffered another loss in their last four outings, firstly drawing with Harrogate Town and beating Scunthorpe United.

After making it three games unbeaten with a draw against Port Vale, the Dale added another notch to their wins column against Northampton Town at the weekend, with Tahvon Campbell netting the only goal of the game soon after half time.

As a result of their impressive upturn in form, Stockdale's men have now risen to 16th spot in England's fourth tier, and, with the chance to climb another place and further extend their eight-point lead over the relegation zone, they will go in search of a ninth league win of the campaign on Tuesday.

Carlisle United League Two form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W

Rochdale League Two form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Team News

With goalkeeper Magnus Norman remaining out injured for Carlisle, Mark Howard will continue to feature between the sticks on Tuesday.

Jordan Gibson and Omari Patrick are both key men in the attack, while experienced striker Kristian Dennis is also expected to feature from the outset.

Jon Mellish and Callum Guy have been relative mainstays in midfield, and the duo will again operate in the engine room at Brunton Park.

Following the departure of top scorer Jake Beesley to Blackpool in January, Rochdale have turned to Tahvon Campbell to lead their line, and he rewarded Stockdale by scoring the winning goal last time out.

He could again be flanked by Alex Newby and Matt Done, while Liam Kelly is also a key man in midfield, having contributed four goals and three assists in League Two this season.

Goalkeepers Joel Coleman and Jay Lynch have both been given opportunities throughout the season, but the latter appears to be more in favour recently, operating between the sticks in each of the Dale's last three league games.

Carlisle United possible starting lineup:
Howard; Riley, Feeney, Simeu, Armer; Gibson, Guy, Mellish, Devitt; Patrick, Dennis

Rochdale possible starting lineup:
Lynch; Taylor; O'Connell, Dorsett; Keohane, Ball, Kelly, Clark; Newby, Campbell, Done

SM words green background

We say: Carlisle United 1-2 Rochdale

Carlisle picked up a crucial win at the weekend and will feel refreshed and desperate to boost their survival bid, but they take on a Rochdale side in fine form and could fall just short.

The Dale have been particularly impressive recently, and we back them to leave Brunton Park with all three points, given the quality throughout their squad.

Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data

ID:479378:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9115:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!

Game History

How you voted: Carlisle vs Rochdale

Carlisle United
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Luke Matheson scores for Rochdale against Manchester United on September 25, 2019
Read Next:
Luke Matheson in line to start for Rochdale against Newcastle
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
1Bolton WanderersBolton18123337181939
3Oxford UnitedOxford Utd18113431181336
5Peterborough UnitedPeterborough19105437201735
6Derby CountyDerby18103531161533
9Lincoln CityLincoln208662620630
10Charlton AthleticCharlton187563025526
11Bristol Rovers186662423124
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2073101227-1524
13Northampton TownNorthampton187292123-223
14Wigan AthleticWigan199373023722
15Wycombe WanderersWycombe186482327-422
16Leyton Orient195771824-622
17Burton Albion195591627-1120
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge195591425-1120
19Port Vale185491427-1319
20Exeter CityExeter1853101229-1718
21Fleetwood TownFleetwood1844101831-1316
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1936101526-1115
24Cheltenham TownCheltenham1833121027-1712

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter

Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!