Carlisle United
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Stockport County

Carlisle
2 - 1
Stockport

Adu-Adjei (26'), Armstrong (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wootton (50')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Carlisle United and Stockport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gateshead 2-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.15pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Stockport 0-1 Blackburn
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 2-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawStockport County
17.97% (0.907 0.91)20.73% (0.337 0.34)61.3% (-1.25 -1.25)
Both teams to score 55.62% (0.709 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.23% (0.036000000000001 0.04)40.77% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.84% (0.037000000000006 0.04)63.15% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.81% (1.061 1.06)36.19% (-1.068 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.02% (1.063 1.06)72.97% (-1.072 -1.07)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.17% (-0.35000000000001 -0.35)12.83% (0.344 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.83% (-0.71599999999999 -0.72)39.17% (0.709 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 17.97%
    Stockport County 61.3%
    Draw 20.73%
Carlisle UnitedDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 4.92% (0.207 0.21)
1-0 @ 4.72% (0.126 0.13)
2-0 @ 2.4% (0.131 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.67% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 17.97%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.149 0.15)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.73%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.79% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-1 @ 9.53% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 6.81% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.7% (-0.282 -0.28)
1-4 @ 3.5% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.46% (0.057 0.06)
0-4 @ 3.44% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-4 @ 1.78% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.44% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-5 @ 1.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 61.3%

Head to Head
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Carlisle
1-1
Stockport
(Aggregate 1-1 | Carlisle win 5-4 on penalties)
Patrick (84')
Mellish (24'), Charters (90+2')
Mellish (34' og.)
Collar (105+2')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Carlisle
2-2
Stockport
Mellish (54'), Moxon (83')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Stockport
2-0
Carlisle
Hippolyte (20'), Wootton (57')
Jan 23, 2010 3pm
Carlisle
0-0
Stockport
Keogh (44'), Horwood (44'), Anyinsah (70')
Dobie (72')
Ibehre (19'), Raynes (34')
Ibehre (81')
Aug 18, 2009 3pm
Stockport
1-2
Carlisle
Keogh (14' og.)
Raynes (58'), Havern (68')
Hurst (13'), Anyinsah (65')
Robson (82'), Dobie (90')