Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 2-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.