/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
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Freddie Anderson
49'
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Emre Tezgel
80'
Carlisle United vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result
Carlisle United
16.56%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
21.03%
▼
(-0.01)
Stoke City
62.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
51.66%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.41%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
44.59%
Over 3.5
33.04%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
66.95%
Over 4.5
16.83%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
83.17%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5
59.86%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
40.14%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
23.22%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
76.78%
▲
(+0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
86.29%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
13.7%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
59.06%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
40.94%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Carlisle United
16.56%
Draw
21.03%
Stoke City
62.4%
Carlisle United
1-0
@
5.02%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.39%
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 16.56%
2-1 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.39%
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 16.56%
Draw
1-1
@
9.98%
0-0 @ 5.5%
2-2 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 21.03%
0-0 @ 5.5%
2-2 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 21.03%
Stoke City
0-1
@
10.93%
0-2 @ 10.86%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.57%
0-4 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 3%
2-4 @ 1.49%
0-5 @ 1.42%
1-5 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 62.4%
0-2 @ 10.86%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.57%
0-4 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 3%
2-4 @ 1.49%
0-5 @ 1.42%
1-5 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 62.4%