League Two

League Two | Gameweek 5

Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
2 - 1
Grimsby Town

Berry (27'), Markanday (45+2')
Cook (0'), Oldaker (24'), Grimes (39'), Grigg (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Vernam (50')
Warren (26'), Vernam (58'), Carson (63'), Grigg (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Bradford
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chesterfield in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chesterfield.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Grimsby Town
51.48% ( -0.04)	23.67% ( -0.03)	24.85% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 55.93% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.78% (

0.19)

45.22% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.43% (

0.18)

67.57% (

-0.19)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.41% (

0.06)

17.59% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.84% (

0.1)

48.16% (

-0.1)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.86% (

0.16)

32.14% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.38% (

0.18)

68.62% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 51.48%

Grimsby Town 24.85%

Draw 23.67%

Chesterfield	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 51.48%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.67%	0-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 24.85%