Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.95%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.63%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Manchester City Under-21s
53.95% ( -0.07)	20.26% ( 0.02)	25.79% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 69.42% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72% (

-0.07)

28% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.26% (

-0.09)

48.74% (

0.09)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.2% (

-0.04)

10.8% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.17% (

-0.09)

34.83% (

0.1)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.83% (

-0.01)

22.17% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.43% (

-0.01)

55.57% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 53.95%

Manchester City Under-21s 25.79%

Draw 20.26%

Chesterfield	Draw	Manchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 53.95%	1-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.26%	1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.27% 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.79%