Derby County vs Chesterfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Derby County in this match.