EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 1
Chesterfield

Thompson (38'), Jackson (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dobra (29')
Daley-Campbell (86')

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Derby County and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 4-2 Derby
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Chesterfield
49.24% ( -0)	23.53% ( 0)	27.23% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.69% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.39% (

-0)

42.6% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.99% (

-0)

65.01% (

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.55%

17.45% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.08% (

-0)

47.91% (

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.1% (

-0)

28.9% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.23%

64.77% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Derby County 49.24%

Chesterfield 27.23%

Draw 23.52%

Derby County	Draw	Chesterfield
2-1 @ 9.54% 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.55% 3-0 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.86% Total : 49.24%	1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.26% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.44% Total : 27.23%