Championship

Championship | Gameweek 1

Aug 9, 2024 at 8pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
4 - 2
Derby

Dolan (19'), Weimann (72'), Szmodics (76'), Ohashi (84')
Dolan (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nelson (67'), Wilson (88')
Barkhuizen (11'), Collins (82'), Cashin (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stockport 0-1 Blackburn
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Derby County
29.44% ( 0.04)	25.54% ( 0.01)	45.02% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 53.59% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.97% (

-0.03)

50.03% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.99% (

-0.02)

72.01% (

0.03)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.88% (

0.01)

31.12% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.55% (

0.01)

67.45% (

-0.01)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.81% (

-0.03)

22.19% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.4% (

-0.05)

55.6% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 29.44%

Derby County 45.02%

Draw 25.53%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 29.44%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 45.02%