MX23RW : Thursday, September 19 16:22:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Blackburn logo
Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ewood Park
Derby logo

Blackburn
4 - 2
Derby

Dolan (19'), Weimann (72'), Szmodics (76'), Ohashi (84')
Dolan (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nelson (67'), Wilson (88')
Barkhuizen (11'), Collins (82'), Cashin (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-1 Blackburn
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Derby County

The opening day of a season is a complete unknown, and that is particularly the case with two well-matched teams squaring off here. Derby will be eager to make an impression, yet we are backing Rovers to make a positive start to their campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
29.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 25.54% (0.012 0.01) 45.02% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.97% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)50.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)72.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (0.010000000000005 0.01)31.12% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (0.010999999999996 0.01)67.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)22.19% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)55.6% (0.052 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 29.44%
    Derby County 45.02%
    Draw 25.53%
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 8.06% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.7% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 29.44%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 45.02%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Derby

Blackburn Rovers
65.2%
Draw
18.4%
Derby County
16.5%
158
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Blackburn
3-1
Derby
Wharton (53'), Dolan (59'), Gallagher (90+7')
Travis (83')
Morrison (28')
Morrison (67')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Derby
1-2
Blackburn
Davies (89')
Shinnie (29'), Lawrence (50')
Brereton Diaz (8', 20')
Lenihan (59'), Buckley (85'), Khadra (88'), Poveda (89'), Travis (90+1')
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 42
Blackburn
2-1
Derby
Gallagher (42'), Elliott (66')
Holtby (32'), Elliott (67')
Lawrence (22')
Clarke (45+1')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
0-4
Blackburn

Buchanan (33'), Rooney (80')
Dolan (11'), Johnson (12', 15'), Armstrong (78')
Johnson (36'), Lenihan (42'), Rothwell (66')
Mar 8, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom541092713
2Sunderland5401124812
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn5320126611
4Burnley5311113810
5Watford531195410
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd53208359
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd53029639
8Derby CountyDerby53028629
9Leeds UnitedLeeds52217438
10Middlesbrough52216428
11Swansea CitySwansea52125327
12Queens Park RangersQPR513178-16
13Stoke CityStoke520336-36
14Coventry CityCoventry512256-15
15Norwich CityNorwich512246-25
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth512259-45
17Bristol City5122611-55
18Millwall51138804
19Luton TownLuton511337-44
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds5113510-54
21Preston North EndPreston511339-64
22Hull City503226-43
23Portsmouth5032611-53
24Cardiff CityCardiff5014111-101


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!