Lincoln City
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
LNER Stadium
Chesterfield

Lincoln
0 - 1
Chesterfield


Erhahon (60'), O'Connor (69'), Gallagher (74'), Jefferies (79'), Earley (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cook (55')
Jones (27'), Daley-Campbell (46'), Oldaker (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Lincoln City and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

Chesterfield

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Chesterfield
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawChesterfield
39.07% (0.777 0.78)24.93% (-0.105 -0.11)35.99% (-0.67299999999999 -0.67)
Both teams to score 57.93% (0.311 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (0.43 0.43)45.4% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26% (0.41 0.41)67.73% (-0.411 -0.41)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.59100000000001 0.59)23.06% (-0.593 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (0.86 0.86)56.89% (-0.862 -0.86)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (-0.176 -0.18)24.7% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (-0.242 -0.24)59.23% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 39.07%
    Chesterfield 35.99%
    Draw 24.92%
Lincoln CityDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 3% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.055 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 39.07%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 35.99%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Chesterfield

Lincoln City
75.3%
Draw
13.7%
Chesterfield
11.0%
73
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2018 3pm
Chesterfield
1-3
Lincoln
Whitmore (30')
Talbot (84'), Rowley (90')
Bostwick (45'), Wharton (59'), Palmer (85')
Woodyard (11'), Frecklington (44'), Palmer (86')
Oct 7, 2017 3pm
Lincoln
2-1
Chesterfield
Bostwick (17'), Kellett (25' og.)
Eardley (45'), Raggett (69')
Dennis (82' pen.)
Feb 19, 2011 3pm
Lincoln
0-2
Chesterfield

Grimes (45')
Holden (84'), Davies (15')
Morris (38'), Niven (59'), Davies (90')
Sep 4, 2010 3pm
Chesterfield
2-1
Lincoln
Mattis (36'), Davies (62')
Hutchinson (88')
Pearce (81')
Feb 6, 2010 3pm
Chesterfield
2-1
Lincoln
Green (19'), Conlon (50')
Boshell (83')
Swaibu (65')
Herd (31'), Hughton (62'), Kerr (90')