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Championship header 2

League One

Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Mansfield Town

Lincoln
4 - 1
Mansfield

Jackson (29', 47'), Roughan (45+2'), House (51')
McGrandles (31'), House (43'), O'Connor (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Oshilaja (69')
Quinn (18'), Oshilaja (23'), Hewitt (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One

Mansfield Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawMansfield Town
32.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)26.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)41.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.85% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.84% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.46%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (0.0040000000000049 0)30.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.0040000000000049 0)67.01% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)59.84%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 32.02%
    Mansfield Town 41.51%
    Draw 26.46%
Lincoln CityDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 9.11%
2-1 @ 7.42%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.02%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 10.67%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-2 @ 7.37%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 3.39%
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.51%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Mansfield

Lincoln City
47.5%
Draw
17.5%
Mansfield Town
35.0%
40
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Mansfield
1-3
Lincoln
Menayese (72')
Perch (34'), Gordon (55')
Soule (31'), Scully (49'), Archibald (62')
Edun (55'), Archibald (61')
Mar 18, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Mansfield
1-1
Lincoln
Pearce (4')
Grant (17'), Preston (81')
Akinde (75' pen.)
Akinde (79')
Nov 24, 2018 1pm
Gameweek 19
Lincoln
1-1
Mansfield
Gordon (85')
Pett (27')
Mellis (90')
Mellis (30'), Sweeney (70'), Rose (75')
Sep 4, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Lincoln
1-2
Mansfield
Rhead (6')
Bostwick (54'), McCombe (90')
O'Connor (90')
Butcher (8'), Walker (72')
Preston (13'), White (29'), Rose (31'), Benning (33'), Elsnik (83'), MacDonald (90')
Mar 6, 2018 7.45pm
Mansfield
1-1
Lincoln
Byrom (49')
King (11'), Bennett (82')
Bennett (90')
Palmer (90')
Frecklington (22'), Bostwick (69'), Rhead (74')
Waterfall (90')