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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 61.1% ( | 22.29% ( | 16.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.21% ( | 49.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% ( | 71.79% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.17% ( | 15.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.99% ( | 45.01% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.81% ( | 43.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.55% ( | 79.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 12.6% ( 2-0 @ 11.61% ( 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 3-0 @ 7.14% ( 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 5-1 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 61.09% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 2-2 @ 4.09% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0-2 @ 2.41% ( 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 2-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.63% Total : 16.61% |