Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Morecambe
42.4% ( 0.41)	27.1% ( 0)	30.49% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 49.31% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.19% (

-0.15)

55.8% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.07% (

-0.12)

76.93% (

0.12)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.98% (

0.14)

26.02% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.95% (

0.2)

61.04% (

-0.2)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.65% (

-0.38)

33.34% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.03% (

-0.42)

69.96% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 42.39%

Morecambe 30.49%

Draw 27.09%

Burton Albion	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.2% Total : 42.39%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.49%