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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 47.84% ( | 24.97% ( | 27.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.05% ( | 48.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% ( | 71.04% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( | 20.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.02% ( | 52.98% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.76% ( | 32.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.26% ( | 68.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 47.83% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.19% |