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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 43.49% ( | 26.48% ( | 30.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.41% ( | 53.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.9% ( | 75.09% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( | 24.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.09% ( | 58.91% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.47% ( | 32.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.94% ( | 69.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.48% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 2-2 @ 4.97% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 2-3 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.03% |