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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Newport County |
| 56.26% ( | 24.89% ( | 18.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.56% ( | 56.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.55% ( | 77.44% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( | 20.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.77% ( | 52.23% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.61% ( | 44.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.56% ( | 80.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 14.29% ( 2-0 @ 11.49% ( 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 4-1 @ 2.01% ( Other @ 3.45% Total : 56.25% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 1-2 @ 4.72% ( 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.68% Total : 18.85% |