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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Newport County |
| 42.49% ( | 26.79% ( | 30.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.45% ( | 54.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% ( | 75.9% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% ( | 25.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.79% ( | 60.21% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.47% ( | 32.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.94% ( | 69.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 4-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.49% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.72% |