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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gillingham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Gillingham |
| 35.59% ( | 26.43% ( | 37.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.95% ( | 52.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.22% ( | 73.77% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% ( | 28.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.27% ( | 63.72% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( | 26.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% ( | 61.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.59% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0-2 @ 6.54% ( 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.97% |