EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
3 - 1
Gillingham

Pereira Martins (24', 24'), Cullen (70'), Abdulai (90+6')
Pedersen (19'), Pedersen (19'), Abdulai (50'), Abdulai (50')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hawkins (87')
E (51'), Williams (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Swansea City and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Gillingham 4-1 Carlisle
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Gillingham
50.43% ( 0.33)	23.54% ( -0.11)	26.02% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 57.54% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.36% (

0.32)

43.63% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.97% (

0.31)

66.02% (

-0.31)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.61% (

0.24)

17.39% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.19% (

0.43)

47.81% (

-0.43)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.65%

30.34% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.47%

66.53% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 50.43%

Gillingham 26.02%

Draw 23.54%

Swansea City	Draw	Gillingham
2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.85% Total : 50.43%	1-1 @ 11% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 26.02%