EFL Cup
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Kristian Pedersen 19' yellowcard
  • Kristian Pedersen 19' yellowcard
  • Ronald Pereira Martins 24' goal
  • Ronald Pereira Martins 24' goal
  • Azeem Abdulai 50' yellowcard
  • Azeem Abdulai 50' yellowcard
  • Liam Cullen 70' goal
  • Azeem Abdulai 90'+6' goal
  • redcard E 51'
  • redcard Euan Williams 51'
  • goal Oliver Hawkins 87'

Swansea City vs Gillingham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Gillingham

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result

Swansea City 50.43% (+0.34)
Draw 23.54% (-0.12)
Gillingham 26.02% (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.54% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.36% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 43.63% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 33.97% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 66.02% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 17.5% (+0.23)
Under 4.5 82.49% (-0.24)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 82.61% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 17.39% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 52.19% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 47.81% (-0.43)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 69.65%
Under 0.5 30.34% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.47%
Under 1.5 66.53% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Swansea City 50.43%
Draw 23.54%
Gillingham 26.02%
Swansea City
2-1 @ 9.63% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.07% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.62% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.71% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.35% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.46% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.06% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.46% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 50.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.74% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.54%
Gillingham
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 26.02%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 26, 2019 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ollie McBurnie 10' goal
  • Cameron Carter-Vickers 14' yellowcard
  • Ollie McBurnie 32' goal
  • Bersant Celina 73' goal
  • Barrie McKay 84' goal
  • goal Josh Rees 51'
League One
Apr 12, 2008 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Dennis Oli 22' goal
  • Kevin Maher 43' yellowcard
  • Adam Miller 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leon Britton 13'
  • yellowcard Darren Pratley 23'
  • goal Guillem Bauza 44'
  • goal Guillem Bauza 45'
  • yellowcard Guillem Bauza 52'
  • yellowcard Marcos Painter 59'
League One
Nov 2, 2007 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Warren Feeney 23' redcard
  • Darren Pratley 50' yellowcard
  • Garry Monk 64' yellowcard
  • Paul Anderson 79' goal
  • goal Delroy Facey 10'
  • yellowcard Nicky Southall 82'
League One
Jan 23, 2007 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adebayo Akinfenwa 6' goal
  • Andy Robinson 72' goal
  • Andy Robinson 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Flynn 75'
League One
Sep 16, 2006 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ian Cox 14' goal
  • Matt Jarvis 30' goal
  • Clint Easton 43' yellowcard
  • Ian Cox 79' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Austin 18'
  • goal Leon Knight 85'
League One
Mar 25, 2006 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Darren Byfield 54' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Trundle 60'
  • yellowcard Garry Monk 90'