EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 13, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Brisbane Road

Leyton Orient
4 - 1
Newport

Agyei (1'), Jaiyesimi (45+7'), Cooper (51'), Kelman (74')
Warrington (60')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Clarke (61')
Jameson (54')

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Leyton Orient and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 3-2 Newport
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 25.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton Orient	Draw	Newport County
49.4% ( -3.06)	25.31% ( 0.3)	25.28% ( 2.75)

Both teams to score 51.16% (

2.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.28% (

1.21)

51.71% (

-1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.5% (

1.04)

73.49% (

-1.04)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.05% (

-0.79)

20.95% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.3% (

-1.25)

53.69% (

1.25)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.72% (

3.17)

35.28% (

-3.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.96% (

3.17)

72.03% (

-3.17)

Score Analysis

Leyton Orient 49.4%

Newport County 25.28%

Draw 25.3%

Leyton Orient	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.86) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.91) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.6) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.4%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.36) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.6) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.47) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.27) Other @ 2.03% Total : 25.28%