Leyton Orient

4 - 1

Newport

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 25.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.