Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Newport County
40.48% ( -0.67)	26.87% ( 0.27)	32.65% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 50.79% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.72% (

-0.98)

54.28% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.32% (

-0.83)

75.67% (

0.82)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.67% (

-0.81)

26.33% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.53% (

-1.09)

61.47% (

1.08)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.95% (

-0.23)

31.05% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.63% (

-0.27)

67.36% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Kidderminster Harriers 40.47%

Newport County 32.65%

Draw 26.87%

Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.2% Total : 40.47%	1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 3% Total : 32.65%