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Hereford United vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result
Hereford United
41.57%
▲
(+0.96)
Draw
25.46%
▲
(+0.11)
Newport County
32.97%
▼
(-1.06)
Both Teams to Score:
55.46%
▼
(-0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.67%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 2.5
48.33%
▲
(+0.71)
Over 3.5
29.53%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 3.5
70.47%
▲
(+0.65)
Over 4.5
14.35%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 4.5
85.65%
▲
(+0.45)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5
76.9%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
23.1%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
43.05%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 1.5
56.95%
▼
(-0.25)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
72.12%
▼
(-1.00)
Under 0.5
27.88%
▲
(+1.00)
Over 1.5
36.51%
▼
(-1.29)
Under 1.5
63.49%
▲
(+1.29)
Score analysis
Hereford United
41.57%
Draw
25.45%
Newport County
32.97%
Hereford United
1-0
@
9.44%
▲
(+0.32)
2-1 @ 8.83% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 41.57%
2-1 @ 8.83% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 41.57%
Draw
1-1
@
12.05%
▲
(+0.08)
0-0 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.45%
0-0 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.45%
Newport County
0-1
@
8.23%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.97%
1-2 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.97%