Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hereford United in this match.