Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 15.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.

Result
Scunthorpe United	Draw	Hereford United
62.9% ( -1.47)	21.78% ( 0.5)	15.33% ( 0.98)

Both teams to score 46.6% (

0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.06% (

-0.19)

49.94% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.07% (

-0.16)

71.93% (

0.17)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.71% (

-0.53)

15.29% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.99% (

-1.01)

44.01% (

1.02)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.01% (

1.28)

44.99% (

-1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.07% (

80.93% (

-1)

Score Analysis

Scunthorpe United 62.9%

Hereford United 15.33%

Draw 21.77%

Scunthorpe United	Draw	Hereford United
1-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.12% Total : 62.9%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.77%	0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.39% Total : 15.33%