League Two

League Two | Gameweek 3

Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
3 - 1
Accrington

Quirk (12' og.), Baker-Richardson (52' pen.), Wildig (63')
Clarke (29'), McLoughlin (54')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Whalley (38')
Khumbeni (90+6')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Accrington Stanley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 3-1 Doncaster
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Accrington 3-3 Harrogate
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Accrington Stanley
42.39% ( 0.01)	25.33% ( 0)	32.27% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.63% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52% (

-0.01)

48% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.83% (

-0.01)

70.17% (

0.01)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44%

22.56% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.85%

56.15% (

-0)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83% (

-0.02)

28.17% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.15% (

-0.02)

63.85% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Newport County 42.39%

Accrington Stanley 32.27%

Draw 25.33%

Newport County	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.23% Total : 42.39%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 8.05% 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.27%