EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Prenton Park

Tranmere
3 - 0
Accrington

Saunders (3', 3'), Williams (45', 45'), Patrick (71')
Wood (90+1')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Kelly (29'), Kelly (29'), Whalley (44'), Whalley (44'), O'Brien (69'), Quirk (72'), Woods (88')

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Tranmere Rovers and Accrington Stanley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Notts County
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Doncaster 4-1 Accrington
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.

Result
Tranmere Rovers	Draw	Accrington Stanley
50.13% ( 5.01)	23.57% ( -0.09)	26.31% ( -4.92)

Both teams to score 57.74% (

-3.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.51% (

-2.7)

43.49% (

2.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.11% (

-2.71)

65.88% (

2.72)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.55% (

0.92)

17.45% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.09% (

1.58)

47.91% (

-1.57)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95% (

-4.75)

30.05% (

4.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82% (

-6.11)

66.18% (

6.12)

Score Analysis

Tranmere Rovers 50.13%

Accrington Stanley 26.31%

Draw 23.56%

Tranmere Rovers	Draw	Accrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.44) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 1.28) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 1.32) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.88) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.25) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.43) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.83% Total : 50.13%	1-1 @ 11% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.53) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.6) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.82) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.6) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.76) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.57) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.49) Other @ 3.11% Total : 26.31%