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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 35.18% ( | 25.35% ( | 39.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.6% ( | 47.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.39% ( | 69.61% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( | 26.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.85% ( | 61.15% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( | 23.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.11% ( | 57.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 2-0 @ 5.59% ( 3-1 @ 3.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 4-1 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.33% Total : 35.18% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 2-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.47% |