League Two

League Two | Gameweek 5

Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 4
Port Vale

Wildig (24')
Glennon (35'), Evans (51'), Jameson (54'), Wildig (85')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Stockley (6', 36'), Chislett (48'), Tolaj (54')
Cover (37'), Hackford (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Port Vale

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Wolves U21s (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Port Vale
32.42% ( -0.7)	26.18% ( -0.08)	41.39% ( 0.77)

Both teams to score 52.87% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.42% (

0.14)

51.58% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.62% (

0.13)

73.37% (

-0.13)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.15% (

-0.39)

29.84% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.06% (

-0.47)

65.93% (

0.47)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.37% (

0.47)

24.63% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.86% (

0.64)

59.14% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Newport County 32.42%

Port Vale 41.39%

Draw 26.18%

Newport County	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.42%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.39%