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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 35.73% ( | 26.7% ( | 37.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.85% ( | 53.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.28% ( | 74.72% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( | 28.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( | 64.3% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% ( | 27.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.09% ( | 62.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 2-0 @ 6.16% ( 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 4-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0-2 @ 6.55% ( 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 37.56% |