Newport County
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 17, 2024 at 7pm UK
Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 0
West Ham U21s

Greaves (83')
Hudlin (51'), Morris (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Newport County and West Ham United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Swindon 4-0 Newport
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League Two

West Ham United Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: West Ham U21s 1-0 Norwich U21s
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-21s win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.36%) and 1-3 (5.24%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawWest Ham United Under-21s
35.3% (0.774 0.77)22.02% (-0.026 -0.03)42.68% (-0.744 -0.74)
Both teams to score 68.85% (0.336 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.84% (0.346 0.35)31.16% (-0.345 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.42% (0.41 0.41)52.58% (-0.406 -0.41)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (0.529 0.53)18.55% (-0.525 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.19% (0.88 0.88)49.81% (-0.877 -0.88)
West Ham United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52% (-0.136 -0.14)15.48% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.65% (-0.25899999999999 -0.26)44.35% (0.261 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 35.3%
    West Ham United Under-21s 42.68%
    Draw 22.02%
Newport CountyDrawWest Ham United Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.073 0.07)
1-0 @ 4.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.111 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.07% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.98% (0.085 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.063 0.06)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 35.3%
1-1 @ 9.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 7.09% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.87% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.48% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 4.41%
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.44% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-4 @ 1.16% (0.013 0.01)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 42.68%

Head to Head
Oct 31, 2023 7.30pm
Group Stage
Newport
0-1
West Ham U21s

Waite (48'), Payne (82'), Bogle (90+6'), Bondswell (90+8'), Evans (90+9')
Kadua (62')
Clayton (90+6'), Robinson (90+9'), Orford (90+9')