League Two

League Two | Gameweek 6

Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
4 - 0
Newport

Tshimanga (4'), Glatzel (18'), Baker (21' og.), Cotterill (45')
Kilkenny (56')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 1-4 Port Vale
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Newport County
41.88% ( 0.2)	25.55% ( -0.01)	32.56% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 54.99% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.13% (

-0)

48.87% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.03% (

-0)

70.96% (

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.81% (

0.1)

23.18% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.93% (

0.15)

57.07% (

-0.15)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.59% (

-0.13)

28.41% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.84% (

-0.16)

64.16% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 41.88%

Newport County 32.56%

Draw 25.55%

Swindon Town	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.88%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.55%	0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.56%