Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Sep 22, 2024 at 2pm UK

Broadfield Stadium

Brighton
2 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Hinshelwood (42'), Welbeck (45')
Balepa (25'), Welbeck (39'), Dunk (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Wood (13' pen.), Sosa (70')
Aina (44'), Williams (46'), Gibbs-White (60'), Silva (64'), Hudson-Odoi (90+3')
Gibbs-White (83')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 3-2 Wolves
Wednesday, September 18 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Nottingham Forest
59.49% ( -0.08)	20.76% ( 0.12)	19.75% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 58.88% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.95% (

-0.65)

38.05% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.68% (

-0.7)

60.32% (

0.69)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.5% (

-0.23)

12.5% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.51% (

-0.47)

38.49% (

0.47)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.29% (

-0.42)

32.71% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.73% (

-0.47)

69.27% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 59.49%

Nottingham Forest 19.75%

Draw 20.76%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Nottingham Forest
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.92% Total : 59.49%	1-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.76%	1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 19.75%