EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 28, 2024 at 8pm UK

The City Ground

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Newcastle

Silva (50')
Silva (53'), Abbott (54'), Moreno (72'), Dominguez (77'), Sangare (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Willock (1')
Guimaraes (53'), Hall (67')

Newcastle win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Nottingham Forest and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 Newcastle
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Newcastle United
31.86% ( -1.14)	23.63% ( 0.12)	44.5% ( 1.02)

Both teams to score 61.42% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.65% (

-1.04)

40.35% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.27% (

-1.08)

62.72% (

1.08)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3% (

-1.16)

24.69% (

1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.76% (

-1.65)

59.23% (

1.66)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.56%

18.44% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.39%

49.61% (

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 31.86%

Newcastle United 44.5%

Draw 23.62%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.86%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.62%	1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.58% Total : 44.5%