EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Broadfield Stadium

Brighton
3 - 2
Wolves

Balepa (14'), Adingra (31'), Kadioglu (85')
Estupinan (36'), Hinshelwood (47'), Ferguson (62'), Moder (68'), Webster (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Guedes (44'), Doyle (90+1')
Sarabia (45+1'), Doyle (75')

Reaction

Wolverhampton Wanderers head coach Gary O'Neil in September 2024.

Wolves boss Gary O'Neil praises Goncalo Guedes despite EFL Cup exit to Brighton & Hove Albion

Wolverhampton Wanderers head coach Gary O'Neil heaps praise on Goncalo Guedes despite the winger featuring in the club's 3-2 defeat at Brighton & Hove Albion in the EFL Cup.

Sep 18, 22:47

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Ipswich
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 68.98%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 14.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
68.98% ( 0.57)	16.95% ( -0.15)	14.06% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 60.41% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.64% (

-0.22)

30.36% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.37% (

-0.27)

51.62% (

0.27)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92% (

0.06)

8% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.8% (

0.16)

28.2% (

-0.15)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.67% (

-0.68)

34.33% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.96% (

-0.74)

71.04% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 68.98%

Wolverhampton Wanderers 14.06%

Draw 16.95%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 68.98%	1-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.95%	1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.4% Total : 14.06%