Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
0 - 3
Brighton

Tarkowski (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mitoma (25'), Welbeck (56'), Adingra (86')
Milner (31')

The Match

Match Report

Fabian Hurzeler's tenure at Brighton started in style as the Seagulls secured a comfortable 3-0 victory against Everton at Goodison Park in their Premier League opener.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Everton 1-1 Roma
Saturday, August 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 4-0 Villarreal
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Everton had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
26.46% ( -0.82)	23.95% ( 0.07)	49.58% ( 0.75)

Both teams to score 56.58% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.91% (

-0.94)

45.09% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.56% (

-0.91)

67.44% (

0.92)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.22% (

-1.11)

30.78% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.96% (

-1.33)

67.04% (

1.34)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

-0.07)

18.27% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.68% (

-0.12)

49.32% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Everton 26.46%

Brighton & Hove Albion 49.58%

Draw 23.95%

Everton	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.46%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.95%	1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.58%