Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Everton had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.