Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 23.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
23.08% ( -0.75)	22.1% ( -0.07)	54.82% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 59.23% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.11% (

-0.5)

39.89% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.75% (

-0.52)

62.25% (

0.52)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.29% (

-0.9)

30.71% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.03% (

-1.08)

66.96% (

1.08)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.48% (

0.09)

14.52% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.47% (

0.18)

42.53% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Tokyo Verdy 23.08%

Brighton & Hove Albion 54.82%

Draw 22.09%

Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.86% Total : 23.08%	1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.09%	1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 6.31% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.17% Total : 54.82%