Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
31.65% ( 0.04)	26.21% ( 0.01)	42.15% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 52.53% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.1% (

-0.02)

51.91% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.35% (

-0.02)

73.65% (

0.02)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.47% (

0.01)

30.53% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.25% (

0.01)

66.75% (

-0.01)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.61% (

-0.03)

24.39% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.2% (

-0.05)

58.81% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Tokyo Verdy 31.65%

Nagoya Grampus 42.14%

Draw 26.2%

Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.65%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.14%