Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
28.03% ( -0.07)	26.35% ( 0.02)	45.62% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.2% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.98% (

-0.09)

54.02% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.54% (

-0.08)

75.46% (

0.08)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73% (

-0.1)

34.27% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.03% (

-0.11)

70.97% (

0.11)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38% (

-0.02)

23.62% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.29% (

-0.02)

57.7% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Tokyo Verdy 28.03%

Cerezo Osaka 45.62%

Draw 26.34%

Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 28.03%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 45.62%