J1 League Gameweek 22
Jul 6, 2024 10.40am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Fuki Yamada 42' redcard
  • Hiroto Yamami 49' goal
  • Itsuki Someno 61' yellowcard
  • Hiroto Taniguchi 80' yellowcard
  • goal Leo Ceara 76'

Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Tokyo Verdy

All competitions
Last game
Jun 29, 2024 11.00am
Yokohama 1 - 2 Tokyo Verdy
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Yudai Kimura

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Jun 30, 2024 10.00am
Cerezo 2 - 1 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Leo Ceara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

Tokyo Verdy 28.03% (-0.07)
Draw 26.35% (+0.02)
Cerezo Osaka 45.62% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.2% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.98% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 54.02% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 24.54% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 75.46% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 11.07% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 88.93% (+0.05)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5 65.73% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 34.27% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 29.03% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 70.97% (+0.11)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 76.38% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.62% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42.29% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 57.7% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Tokyo Verdy 28.03%
Draw 26.34%
Cerezo Osaka 45.62%
Tokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 8.67% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 28.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 8.09% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.34%
Cerezo Osaka
0-1 @ 11.68% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.43% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.06% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 45.62%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 3
Mar 9, 2024 7.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
  • Shinji Kagawa 42' goal
  • Shinji Kagawa 42' goal
  • Shunta Tanaka 79' yellowcard
  • Shunta Tanaka 79' yellowcard
  • Kakeru Funaki 85' yellowcard
  • Kakeru Funaki 85' yellowcard
  • Leo Ceara 90'+3' goal
  • Leo Ceara 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Tetsuyuki Inami 28'
  • yellowcard Tetsuyuki Inami 28'
  • goal Yudai Kimura 53'
  • goal Yudai Kimura 53'
  • redcard Tetsuyuki Inami 65'
  • redcard Tetsuyuki Inami 65'