Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.