J1 League Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 10.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
  • Leo Ceara 26' goal
  • Lucas Fernandes 65' goal
  • Ryo Watanabe 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kennedyegbus Mikuni 30'
  • goal Tojiro Kubo 76'
  • yellowcard Keiya Shiihashi 86'

Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Jun 26, 2024 11.00am
Cerezo 1 - 0 Sagan Tosu
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Leo Ceara

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Jun 26, 2024 11.00am
Nagoya Grampus 0 - 1 Urawa
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Kensuke Nagai

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result

Cerezo Osaka 35.6% (-0.22)
Draw 27.46% (+0.12)
Nagoya Grampus 36.94% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.43% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.78% (-0.45)
Under 2.5 56.22% (+0.45)
Over 3.5 22.73% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 77.27% (+0.37)
Over 4.5 9.95% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 90.05% (+0.23)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 69.9% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 30.1% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 33.75% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 66.24% (+0.44)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 70.72% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 29.28% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 34.76% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 65.24% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Cerezo Osaka 35.6%
Draw 27.46%
Nagoya Grampus 36.94%
Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.58% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 35.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.81% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.46%
Nagoya Grampus
0-1 @ 10.82% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.65% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.72% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.94%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 9
Apr 21, 2024 7.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Haruki Yoshida 23' yellowcard
  • Haruki Yoshida 23' yellowcard
  • Kennedyegbus Mikuni 62' yellowcard
  • Kennedyegbus Mikuni 62' yellowcard
  • Kennedyegbus Mikuni 65' goal
  • Kennedyegbus Mikuni 65' goal
  • Kensuke Nagai 82' goal
  • Kensuke Nagai 82' goal
  • Ha Chang-Rae 87' yellowcard
  • Chang-rae Ha 87' yellowcard
  • Ha Chang-Rae 87' yellowcard
  • Chang-rae Ha 87' yellowcard
  • Tsukasa Morishima 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Tsukasa Morishima 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Kennedyegbus Mikuni 67'
  • goal Kennedyegbus Mikuni 67'
  • yellowcard Capixaba 78'
  • yellowcard Capixaba 78'
J1 League Gameweek 25
Aug 26, 2023 11.30am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
  • Satoki Uejo 9' goal
  • Satoki Uejo 71' goal
  • Sota Kitano 88' goal
  • goal Ryoya Morishita 12'
J1 League Gameweek 16
Jun 3, 2023 8.00am
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
  • Ryuji Izumi 21' goal
  • Yuichi Maruyama 31' goal
  • Mateus 43' goal
  • goal Capixaba 4'
J1 League Gameweek 34
Nov 5, 2022 5.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Yuki Soma 90'+7'
J1 League Gameweek 13
May 14, 2022 6.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Haruya Fujii 4' yellowcard
  • Keiya Sento 6' goal
  • yellowcard Seiya Maikuma 38'
J1 League Gameweek 37
Nov 27, 2021 5.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Naoyuki Fujita 80' goal
  • Ryuya Nishio 87' goal
  • goal Yoichiro Kakitani 67'
  • yellowcard Kazuki Nagasawa 77'