Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Urawa Red Diamonds in this match.