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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Yamaha Stadium

Jubilo Iwata
3 - 0
Tokyo Verdy

Hayashi (51' og.), Peixoto (61'), Furukawa (90+5')
Matsubara (45+2'), Kanuma (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Matsuhashi (9'), Kimura (63'), Arai (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Jubilo Iwata and Tokyo Verdy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 22 at 10.30am in J1 League

We said: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Tokyo Verdy

Tokyo Verdy will be full of confidence after winning three of their previous four league games, but we think that they will have to settle for a draw when they face a Jubilo Iwata side that has lost just one of their last four top-flight home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jubilo Iwata would win this match.

Result
Jubilo IwataDrawTokyo Verdy
50.38% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.18% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.44% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 50.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)51.89% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)73.64% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)20.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.11% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)72.89% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Jubilo Iwata 50.37%
    Tokyo Verdy 24.44%
    Draw 25.18%
Jubilo IwataDrawTokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.28% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 50.37%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Jubilo Iwata vs Tokyo Verdy

Jubilo Iwata
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Tokyo Verdy
25.0%
12
Head to Head
May 6, 2024 5am
Gameweek 12
Tokyo Verdy
3-2
Jubilo Iwata
Someno (35' pen.), Kimura (41', 90+9')
Miki (4'), Matsuhashi (64'), Yamami (76')
Peixoto (55'), Germain (66')
Nishikubo (58'), Furukawa (82'), Uemura (90+7'), Germain (90+13')
Graca (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima331811465333265
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe33197754322264
3Machida Zelvia33178847281959
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers32158952391353
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka33141183728953
6FC Tokyo33139114744348
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo33121294040048
8Tokyo Verdy33121294244-248
9Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus33144154039146
10Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki321110115446843
11Avispa Fukuoka331013102933-443
12Yokohama F MarinosYokohama32125155254-241
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa31109124341239
14Albirex Niigata33109144355-1239
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare33108154650-438
16Kashiwa ReysolReysol32911123544-938
17Kyoto Sanga32108143953-1438
18Jubilo Iwata3288163753-1632
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3378183759-2229
20Sagan Tosu3375213963-2426


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