Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Machida Zelvia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Machida Zelvia.

Result
Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Machida Zelvia
27.99% ( -0.16)	27.43% ( 0.2)	44.58% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 47.08% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.96% (

-0.79)

58.03% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.28% (

-0.62)

78.72% (

0.63)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.54% (

-0.56)

36.46% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.75% (

-0.57)

73.25% (

0.57)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.09% (

-0.37)

25.91% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.1% (

-0.51)

60.9% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Tokyo Verdy 27.99%

Machida Zelvia 44.58%

Draw 27.43%

Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.87% Total : 27.99%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.58%