J1 League Gameweek 22
Jul 6, 2024 10.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
  • Hokuto Shimoda 30' goal
  • Gen Shoji 43' yellowcard
  • Kazuki Fujimoto 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keiya Shiihashi 14'
  • yellowcard Patric 90'+6'

Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Jun 30, 2024 10.00am
Gamba Osaka 1 - 3 Machida Zelvia
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Se-Hun Oh

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Jun 30, 2024 10.00am
Cerezo 2 - 1 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Kensuke Nagai

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Machida Zelvia in this match.

Result

Machida Zelvia 34.25% (+0.33)
Draw 28.37% (+0.05)
Nagoya Grampus 37.38% (-0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.62% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.34% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 59.66% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 20.02% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 79.97% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 8.35% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 91.65% (+0.06)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 67.29% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 32.71% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 30.73% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 69.27% (-0.18)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 69.29% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 30.71% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 33.04% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 66.96% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Machida Zelvia 34.25%
Draw 28.36%
Nagoya Grampus 37.38%
Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 11.22% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 7.4% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.27% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.76% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.34% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.25% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.04% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.36%
Nagoya Grampus
0-1 @ 11.86% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 37.38%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 2
Mar 2, 2024 5.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
  • Ha Chang-Rae 46' yellowcard
  • Chang-rae Ha 46' yellowcard
  • Ha Chang-Rae 46' yellowcard
  • Chang-rae Ha 46' yellowcard
  • Yuki Nogami 54' yellowcard
  • Yuki Nogami 54' yellowcard
  • Ken Masui 79' yellowcard
  • Ken Masui 79' yellowcard
  • Takuji Yonemoto 87' redcard
  • Takuji Yonemoto 87' redcard
  • goal Shota Fujio 21'
  • goal Shota Fujio 21'
  • yellowcard Min-kyu Jang 39'
  • yellowcard Min-kyu Jang 39'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Dresevic 55'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Dresevic 55'
  • yellowcard Kai Shibato 82'
  • yellowcard Kai Shibato 82'