Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Machida Zelvia in this match.

Result
Machida Zelvia	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
34.25% ( 0.33)	28.37% ( 0.05)	37.38% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 46.62% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.34% (

-0.13)

59.66% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.02% (

-0.1)

79.97% (

0.1)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.29% (

0.16)

32.71% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.73% (

0.17)

69.27% (

-0.17)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.29% (

-0.29)

30.71% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04% (

-0.35)

66.96% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Machida Zelvia 34.25%

Nagoya Grampus 37.38%

Draw 28.36%

Machida Zelvia	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.25%	1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.36%	0-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.38%