Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Machida Zelvia in this match.