Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Everton had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.