Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.