Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.