Premier League Gameweek 1
Chelsea
Aug 18, 2024 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Man City
  • Moises Caicedo 89' yellowcard
  • goal Erling Haaland 18'
  • yellowcard Erling Haaland 66'
  • goal Mateo Kovacic 84'

Chelsea vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
May 19, 2024 4.00pm
Chelsea 2 - 1 Bournemouth
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
May 19, 2024 4.00pm
Man City 3 - 1 West Ham
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Erling Haaland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.58%) and 0-1 (5.51%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Chelsea 32.82% ▼ (-2.90)
Draw 21.83% ▼ (-0.15)
Manchester City 45.36% ▲ (+3.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.69% ▼ (-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.99% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 2.5 31.01% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 3.5 47.6% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 3.5 52.4% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 4.5 28.57% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 4.5 71.43% ▲ (+0.21)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 80.3% ▼ (-1.49)
Under 0.5 19.7% ▲ (+1.50)
Over 1.5 48.3% ▼ (-2.48)
Under 1.5 51.7% ▲ (+2.48)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 85.54% ▲ (+1.02)
Under 0.5 14.46% ▼ (-1.02)
Over 1.5 57.58% ▲ (+1.94)
Under 1.5 42.42% ▼ (-1.93)

Score analysis

Chelsea 32.82%
Draw 21.83%
Manchester City 45.36%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.36)
1-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.40)
3-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.24)
2-0 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.33)
3-0 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.29)
4-1 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.25)
4-2 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 32.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 21.83%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.38)
0-1 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.42)
2-3 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.39)
1-4 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.28)
2-4 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.13)
0-4 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.24)
3-4 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.04% ▼ (-89.46)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 45.36%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Man City
Aug 3, 2024 10.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Chelsea
  • Erling Haaland 4' goal
  • Erling Haaland 5' goal
  • James McAtee 41' yellowcard
  • Oscar Bobb 55' goal
  • Erling Haaland 56' goal
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 14'
  • yellowcard Malo Gusto 42'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 45'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 59'
  • goal Noni Madueke 89'
FA Cup
Man City
Apr 20, 2024 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Chelsea
  • Julian Alvarez 58' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 84' goal
  • Djordje Petrovic 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 45'
  • yellowcard Phil Foden 82'
  • yellowcard Kevin De Bruyne 86'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 86'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Man City
Feb 17, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Chelsea
  • Rodri 83' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 35'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 42'
  • yellowcard Cole Palmer 60'
  • yellowcard Djordje Petrovic 62'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Chelsea
Nov 12, 2023 4.30pm
4
4
HT : 2 2
FT Stamford Bridge
Man City
  • Marc Cucurella 21' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 23' yellowcard
  • Thiago Silva 29' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 37' goal
  • Moises Caicedo 60' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Jackson 67' goal
  • Nicolas Jackson 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 90'+5' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pochettino 90'+11' yellowcard
  • goal Erling Haaland 25'
  • goal Manuel Akanji 45'+1'
  • goal Erling Haaland 47'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Doku 56'
  • yellowcard Rodri 72'
  • goal Rodri 86'
  • yellowcard Jack Grealish 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Man City
May 21, 2023 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Julian Alvarez 12' goal
FA Cup
Man City
Jan 8, 2023 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Chelsea
  • Riyad Mahrez 23' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 30' goal
  • Phil Foden 38' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 85' goal

Form Data

Chelsea 1 - 1 Inter Milan
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Chelsea
Man City 4 - 2 Chelsea
Chelsea 3 - 0 America
Chelsea 1 - 4 Celtic
Chelsea 2 - 2 Wrexham
Man City 1 - 1 Man Utd
Man City 4 - 2 Chelsea
Barcelona 2 - 2 Man City
Man City 2 - 3 AC Milan
Man City 3 - 4 Celtic
Man City 1 - 2 Man Utd

Build-up

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