Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 52.89%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.